I mean, I knew it could happen in theory. But it might actually happen in practice.
Not the federal government, of course. A provincial one, though: the Social Credit-turned-Reform-turned-”Liberal” Party that currently holds a majority in British Columbia under one Christy Clark. Later Sunday she will be hauled onto the carpet in front of her own Cabinet, and the odds are better than even that she won’t leave the meeting as premier. If she does, the odds are even higher that the caucus will do her in some time during the week.
It’s worth noting, before anyone in the professional media gets too gleeful, that worse things than Clark’s government stands accused of in this “great scandal” is done by the federal government on a more or less regular basis. Anger has been growing for years, but the proverbial straw on the camel’s back is the leak of a Jason Kenney-ish plan to mobilize “ethnic voters” for the upcoming May 2013 election. It also included planting several party operatives in key government ministries and using ministry resources to build databases of likely “ethnic” supporters. “Ethnic,” “ethnic,” “ethnic,” and then, in the middle of it all, a truly ironic warning:
If not done correctly, we will appear opportunist.
Yep. That’s true!
Anyhow, for some reason, Clark’s disillusioned gaggle of MLAs apparently feel that this latest scandal is the worst of all. My expectation is that she will be out by week’s end. She will be replaced by a relatively untainted insider who it is felt will “rally the troops.” Maybe Kevin Falcon.
This person will probably cancel the planned May 2013 election by whipping his newly reminted caucus to repeal B.C.’s fixed election law, and move D-day to the fall. He will then spend the next six months persuading disillusioned Conservatives to rejoin the fold, which, with a full-court press by the province’s almost unanimously right-wing media, is actually a fairly decent strategy. Chances of Liberal re-election: ironically, much higher than they looked like a week ago.
Which is unfortunate, but in my short life I’ve gotten used to things never getting better, politics-wise, so really it’s just more of the same.
Update: Michael Smyth of the Province reaches a similar conclusion, with the assistance of the usual bevy of anonymous sources, amongst which can be found this zinger:
Many Liberal insiders I consulted want Clark to resign, and there was furious research underway to see if there was a way to force her out.
Good Lord. Either they’re leading poor Smith up the garden path, or they really are unfit for their positions. How much “research” can such a question possibly require? Call a caucus meeting and tell Clark she’s no longer welcome as their leader. This isn’t rocket science.
I suspect that very process is underway in parts of the caucus right now, but we’ll know in the next couple days.Tweet